LEADER 00000cam a2200865Ia 4500 001 807986457 003 OCoLC 005 20240129213017.0 006 m o d 007 cr cnu---unuuu 008 120823s2012 nju ob 001 0 eng d 019 809767138|a811407494|a843943830|a1058119845|a1059007119 |a1083235508|a1097124023 020 9781118227565|q(electronic bk.) 020 1118227565|q(electronic bk.) 020 9781118240557|q(electronic bk.) 020 1118240553|q(electronic bk.) 020 9781118265154|q(ebk) 020 1118265157|q(ebk) 020 |q(cloth) 020 |q(cloth) 029 1 AU@|b000053284673 029 1 DEBSZ|b449302989 029 1 NZ1|b14696566 029 1 AU@|b000055825576 035 (OCoLC)807986457|z(OCoLC)809767138|z(OCoLC)811407494 |z(OCoLC)843943830|z(OCoLC)1058119845|z(OCoLC)1059007119 |z(OCoLC)1083235508|z(OCoLC)1097124023 037 CL0500000217|bSafari Books Online 040 N$T|beng|epn|cN$T|dTEFOD|dYDXCP|dOCLCQ|dOCLCF|dMHW|dEBLCP |dB24X7|dSFB|dCOO|dUMI|dE7B|dTOH|dGPM|dCDX|dIDEBK|dOCLCQ |dDEBSZ|dOCLCQ|dMERUC|dUOK|dNTG|dH4N|dAU@|dOCLCQ|dTKN |dOCLCQ|dC6I|dOCLCO|dRDF|dUKAHL|dOCLCO|dOCLCQ|dOCLCO 049 INap 082 04 658.403 082 04 658.403|223 099 eBook O’Reilly for Public Libraries 100 1 Drummond, Helga. 245 10 Guide to decision making :|bgetting it more right than wrong /|cHelga Drummond.|h[O'Reilly electronic resource] 260 Hoboken, N.J. :|bJohn Wiley & Sons,|c©2012. 300 1 online resource (xi, 208 pages). 336 text|btxt|2rdacontent 337 computer|bc|2rdamedia 338 online resource|bcr|2rdacarrier 490 1 The Economist 500 At head of title: The Economist. 504 Includes bibliographical references and index. 505 0 Guide to Decision Making: Getting It More Right Than Wrong; Contents; Acknowledgements; Introduction; Predictable surprises; Where surprises come from; 1: Illusions of control: the confidence trap; Illusions of control; The confidence trap; Success and luck: the deadly cocktail; Bunker mentality; Avoiding the overconfidence trap; Risk as choice; 2: Blinkered vision: the judgment trap; Look no further: confirmation traps; Why first impressions matter: anchoring traps; Seen it all before: analogy traps; Out of sight, out of mind: availability traps; Alluring images: vividness traps 505 8 Too good to lose?Emotional rollercoaster: instant-response traps; Two dead fish: expectation traps; Expectations are reality; Surprise, surprise ...; Avoiding judgmental traps; All that glitters: evaluating opportunity; Separating heart and head; When not to make a decision; ""Only the paranoid survive""; 3: Ghosts and shadows: where is reality?; What is a problem?; What do hierarchies really do?; Solving the wrong problem; The invented reality; Rushing a solution; Solving problems that do not exist; Subtle movements; Corporate myopia; Reality as myth; The ruling myth 505 8 Mythical rights and wrongsGo slow to go fast; The problem behind the problem; Listening to Galileo: conceptual blockbusting; Second-order thinking; Stop problems before they start; Solve the right problem; Apply the ""because"" test; Finding the lobster: the importance of mind states; Expecting the unexpected; Fact or fiction?; Testing reality; 4: Gorilla in the room: information and decision- making; How do we know what we think we know?; Where the unexpected come from; Risk as a mirror of imagination; Perception is reality; Gorilla in the room; Complicit computers; Liars in service of truth 505 8 Shut the toolbox and open the mindGoing into ""lockdown""; What is the question?; Information-gathering must have a point; The reality of planning; Ask why? not who?; 5: Conspiracies of optimism: group dynamics; Problems of status; Impact of group culture; Groupthink: conspiracies of optimism; When great minds think alike; Consequences of groupthink; Risky shift; Groups and myopia; Managing groups; Changing group culture; Effective leadership; As others see us; Critical decisions require critical thinking; Refreshing the group; 6: Shifting tides: power and politics in decision-making 505 8 The dynamics of powerThe problem with rules and instructions; Low power; Inevitable tensions; The politics of the deadly Ds; Thinking the unthinkable; The art of the possible: managing power and politics; Getting the approach right; Managing conflict; Ending the debate; The importance of authority; Missing links; The old, old story; 7: Predictable surprises; Today's solution: tomorrow's problem; When solutions dictate or distract; Winner's curse; The curse of establishment status; The tragedy of the commons; Herding; The missing hero; Vicious circle or exploding cluster 520 A comprehensive look at decision-making practices and what can be done to eradicate errors Designed to help companies in any industry make fewer mistakes, The Economist Guide to Decision Making is an in-depth look at the tools and techniques for preventing errors and improving efficiency. Exploring how and why decisions go awry in the first place; what decision-makers can do to counter the psychological, social, and other forces that can undermine individual judgment and pull organizations off course; and highlighting often overlooked aspects of the science of decision making, the book illustr. 588 0 Print version record. 590 O'Reilly|bO'Reilly Online Learning: Academic/Public Library Edition 650 0 Decision making. 650 0 Strategic planning. 650 0 Management. 650 2 Decision Making 650 6 Prise de décision. 650 6 Planification stratégique. 650 6 Gestion. 650 7 decision making.|2aat 650 7 management.|2aat 650 7 Decision making|2fast 650 7 Management|2fast 650 7 Strategic planning|2fast 730 0 Economist (London, England : 1843) 776 08 |iPrint version:|aDrummond, Helga.|tGuide to decision making.|dLondon : Economist Books in association with Profile Books, ©2012|z9781846688942|w(OCoLC)806491258 830 0 Economist. 856 40 |uhttps://ezproxy.naperville-lib.org/login?url=https:// learning.oreilly.com/library/view/~/9781118240557/?ar |zAvailable on O'Reilly for Public Libraries 938 Askews and Holts Library Services|bASKH|nAH24669925 938 Askews and Holts Library Services|bASKH|nAH24246151 938 Books 24x7|bB247|nbkb00049618 938 Coutts Information Services|bCOUT|n24015681 938 ebrary|bEBRY|nebr10593136 938 EBSCOhost|bEBSC|n475820 938 ProQuest MyiLibrary Digital eBook Collection|bIDEB |ncis24015681 938 YBP Library Services|bYANK|n9564698 994 92|bJFN