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008 120823s2012 nju ob 001 0 eng d
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049 INap
082 04 658.403
082 04 658.403|223
099 eBook O’Reilly for Public Libraries
100 1 Drummond, Helga.
245 10 Guide to decision making :|bgetting it more right than
wrong /|cHelga Drummond.|h[O'Reilly electronic resource]
260 Hoboken, N.J. :|bJohn Wiley & Sons,|c©2012.
300 1 online resource (xi, 208 pages).
336 text|btxt|2rdacontent
337 computer|bc|2rdamedia
338 online resource|bcr|2rdacarrier
490 1 The Economist
500 At head of title: The Economist.
504 Includes bibliographical references and index.
505 0 Guide to Decision Making: Getting It More Right Than
Wrong; Contents; Acknowledgements; Introduction;
Predictable surprises; Where surprises come from; 1:
Illusions of control: the confidence trap; Illusions of
control; The confidence trap; Success and luck: the deadly
cocktail; Bunker mentality; Avoiding the overconfidence
trap; Risk as choice; 2: Blinkered vision: the judgment
trap; Look no further: confirmation traps; Why first
impressions matter: anchoring traps; Seen it all before:
analogy traps; Out of sight, out of mind: availability
traps; Alluring images: vividness traps
505 8 Too good to lose?Emotional rollercoaster: instant-response
traps; Two dead fish: expectation traps; Expectations are
reality; Surprise, surprise ...; Avoiding judgmental
traps; All that glitters: evaluating opportunity;
Separating heart and head; When not to make a decision;
""Only the paranoid survive""; 3: Ghosts and shadows:
where is reality?; What is a problem?; What do hierarchies
really do?; Solving the wrong problem; The invented
reality; Rushing a solution; Solving problems that do not
exist; Subtle movements; Corporate myopia; Reality as
myth; The ruling myth
505 8 Mythical rights and wrongsGo slow to go fast; The problem
behind the problem; Listening to Galileo: conceptual
blockbusting; Second-order thinking; Stop problems before
they start; Solve the right problem; Apply the ""because""
test; Finding the lobster: the importance of mind states;
Expecting the unexpected; Fact or fiction?; Testing
reality; 4: Gorilla in the room: information and decision-
making; How do we know what we think we know?; Where the
unexpected come from; Risk as a mirror of imagination;
Perception is reality; Gorilla in the room; Complicit
computers; Liars in service of truth
505 8 Shut the toolbox and open the mindGoing into ""lockdown"";
What is the question?; Information-gathering must have a
point; The reality of planning; Ask why? not who?; 5:
Conspiracies of optimism: group dynamics; Problems of
status; Impact of group culture; Groupthink: conspiracies
of optimism; When great minds think alike; Consequences of
groupthink; Risky shift; Groups and myopia; Managing
groups; Changing group culture; Effective leadership; As
others see us; Critical decisions require critical
thinking; Refreshing the group; 6: Shifting tides: power
and politics in decision-making
505 8 The dynamics of powerThe problem with rules and
instructions; Low power; Inevitable tensions; The politics
of the deadly Ds; Thinking the unthinkable; The art of the
possible: managing power and politics; Getting the
approach right; Managing conflict; Ending the debate; The
importance of authority; Missing links; The old, old
story; 7: Predictable surprises; Today's solution:
tomorrow's problem; When solutions dictate or distract;
Winner's curse; The curse of establishment status; The
tragedy of the commons; Herding; The missing hero; Vicious
circle or exploding cluster
520 A comprehensive look at decision-making practices and what
can be done to eradicate errors Designed to help companies
in any industry make fewer mistakes, The Economist Guide
to Decision Making is an in-depth look at the tools and
techniques for preventing errors and improving efficiency.
Exploring how and why decisions go awry in the first
place; what decision-makers can do to counter the
psychological, social, and other forces that can undermine
individual judgment and pull organizations off course; and
highlighting often overlooked aspects of the science of
decision making, the book illustr.
588 0 Print version record.
590 O'Reilly|bO'Reilly Online Learning: Academic/Public
Library Edition
650 0 Decision making.
650 0 Strategic planning.
650 0 Management.
650 2 Decision Making
650 6 Prise de décision.
650 6 Planification stratégique.
650 6 Gestion.
650 7 decision making.|2aat
650 7 management.|2aat
650 7 Decision making|2fast
650 7 Management|2fast
650 7 Strategic planning|2fast
730 0 Economist (London, England : 1843)
776 08 |iPrint version:|aDrummond, Helga.|tGuide to decision
making.|dLondon : Economist Books in association with
Profile Books, ©2012|z9781846688942|w(OCoLC)806491258
830 0 Economist.
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