LEADER 00000pam 2200313 i 4500 003 DLC 005 20170901113551.0 008 170502s2017 maua b 001 0 eng 010 2017005351 020 9780544935273 (hardback) 040 DLC|beng|erda|cDLC|dNjBwBT|dUtOrBLW 042 pcc 043 n-us---|aa-cc--- 082 00 327.73051|223 092 327.73051|bALL 100 1 Allison, Graham T.,|eauthor. 245 10 Destined for war :|bcan America and China escape Thucydides's trap? /|cGraham Allison. 264 1 Boston :|bHoughton Mifflin Harcourt,|c2017. 300 xx, 364 pages :|billustrations ;|c24 cm 336 text|btxt|2rdacontent 337 unmediated|bn|2rdamedia 338 volume|bnc|2rdacarrier 504 Includes bibliographical references (pages 289-348) and index. 520 "CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES ARE HEADING TOWARD A WAR NEITHER WANTS. The reason is Thucydides's Trap, a deadly pattern of structural stress that results when a rising power challenges a ruling one. This phenomenon is as old as history itself. About the Peloponnesian War that devastated ancient Greece, the historian Thucydides explained: "It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable." Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times. War broke out in twelve of them. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries "great again," the seventeenth case looks grim. Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all-out war. In Destined for War, the eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison explains why Thucydides's Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S.- China relations in the twenty-first century. Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, he shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past -- and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today"--|cProvided by publisher. 600 10 Thucydides.|tHistory of the Peloponnesian War. 650 0 War|xCauses. 651 0 United States|xForeign relations|zChina.
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