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Author Chermack, Thomas J.

Title Scenario planning in organizations : how to create, use, and assess scenarios / Thomas J. Chermack. [O'Reilly electronic resource]

Imprint San Francisco : Berrett-Koehler, ©2011.
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Description 1 online resource (xx, 272 pages) : illustrations
Series A publication in the Berrett-Koehler organizational performance series
Publication in the Berrett-Koehler organizational performance series.
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 247-258) and index.
Contents Introduction to performance-based scenario planning -- The theoretical foundations of performance-based scenario planning -- The performance-based scenario system -- Scenario case study -- Project preparation phase -- Scenario exploration phase -- Scenario development phase -- Scenario implementation phase -- Project assessment phase -- Managing scenario projects -- Human perceptions in the scenario system -- Initiating your first scenario project.
Summary Scenario planning helps organization leaders, executives and decision-makers envision and develop strategies for multiple possible futures instead of just one. It enables organizations to become resilient and agile, carefully calibrating their responses and adapting quickly to new circumstances in a fast-changing environment. This book is the most comprehensive treatment to date of the scenario planning process. Unlike existing books it offers a thorough discussion of the evolution and theoretical foundations of scenario planning, examining its connections to learning theory, decision-making theory, mental model theory and more. Chermack emphasizes that scenario planning is far more than a simple set of steps to follow, as so many other practice-focused books do?he addresses the subtleties and complexities of planning. And, unique among scenario planning books, he deals not just with developing different scenarios but also with applying scenarios once they have been constructed, and assessing the impact of the scenario project. Using a case study based on a real scenario project Chermack lays out a comprehensive five phase scenario planning system?project preparation, scenario exploration, scenario development, scenario implementation and project assessment. Each chapter describes specific techniques for gathering and analyzing relevant data with a particular emphasis on the use of workshops to encourage dialogue. He offers a scenario project worksheet to help readers structure and manage scenario projects as well as avoid common pitfalls, and a discussion, based in recent neurological findings, of how scenario planning helps people to overcome barriers to creative thinking.?This book is about action and performance. Compelling and thoroughly researched, it offers every business executive a playbook for including uncertainty in the organizational change process and driving competitive advantage?. -- Tim Reynolds, Vice President, Talent and Organization Effectiveness, Whirlpool Corporation.
Subject Management -- Simulation methods.
Strategic planning -- Simulation methods.
Gestion -- Méthodes de simulation.
Planification stratégique -- Méthodes de simulation.
Management -- Simulation methods
Strategic planning -- Simulation methods
Other Form: Print version: Chermack, Thomas J. Scenario planning in organizations. San Francisco : Berrett-Koehler, ©2011 9781605094137 (DLC) 2010030700 (OCoLC)644683381
ISBN 9781605094144 (electronic bk.)
1605094145 (electronic bk.)
9781605094274
1605094277
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